On December 12, 2023, a user on the Chinese Haokan social media platform published a video titled "An Opportune Moment for China to Take Over Taiwan." The video shows footage from the wars in the Middle East and in Ukraine, and the narrator argued that the current global crises may be enough to preoccupy the U.S. and limit its ability to defend Taiwan. He said that Taiwan would be unable to withstand a full-scale Chinese invasion, suggesting that "reunification" efforts should begin now while the U.S. is too distracted to intervene.
Narrator: "The current global situation is in an unprecedented state of chaos. In the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the Ukrainian military faces the risk of a comprehensive defeat, while the spillover of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict not only puts Israel in a situation of multi-front warfare but also has the potential to trigger a large-scale Middle East war. Most importantly, these two conflicts will lead the United States deeper into the quagmire of war. In the current situation, is it an opportune moment for China to take over Taiwan? How did the United States become deeply entangled in the quagmire of war? Will mainland China take advantage of the situation to reunify with Taiwan in one fell swoop? Do you support the swift reunification of the two sides? Let’s continue to delve into these questions.
"It’s worth mentioning that currently, the U.S. is balancing its support for Israel while also not giving up on Ukraine. This indicates that they no longer have enough capacity to interfere in the Taiwan Strait issue. Although recently, U.S. and Canadian warships made high-profile passages through the Taiwan Strait, it was just a show of presence and cannot pose any real threat to our side. So, it this a good opportunity for achieving reunification across the Taiwan Strait? It is widely known that one of the reasons for the prolonged unification process between the two sides is the interference by the United States. In the current stage of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the U.S. has not only expended a considerable amount of money and weapons in Ukraine, but has also made little progress. Moreover, the Ukrainian military faces the risk of a complete defeat. If the Biden administration does not want Ukraine to completely collapse, it can only continue to provide assistance to Ukraine. To some extent, the U.S. has not successfully constrained Russia through Ukraine but has instead been constrained by Ukraine.
"Additionally, the outbreak of the Israel-Palestine conflict has led the United States to unconditionally support Israel to protect its interests in the Middle East, leaving it with little room to focus on other matters. The Israel-Palestine conflict has also caused anxiety in Taiwan because they are well aware that if the People’s Liberation Army were to launch a saturation attack, they would have no chance of resisting. Therefore, in the current situation, some experts believe that if we were to pursue reunification by force against Taiwan at this time, the resistance we would face would likely be much less. Of course, our country has always pursued the policy of peaceful reunification, and no matter the circumstances, we will not give up the vision of peaceful reunification as long as there is a glimmer of hope. However, it should be noted that if there were truly unexpected developments, any time could become a good opportunity for us to achieve reunification."